How Does ISM Svc PMI Affect Stocks & ETFs?
The ISM Services PMI (formerly Non-Manufacturing) covers the services sector, which represents roughly 70% of the US economy. Like the manufacturing PMI, readings above 50 indicate expansion. It includes sub-components for business activity, new orders, employment, and prices.
Since services dominate the US economy, this index arguably matters more than manufacturing PMI for the overall growth picture. Services inflation has been the 'sticky' component keeping the Fed cautious, making the prices paid sub-index especially market-moving.
Index ETFs
Sector ETFs
XLK
Technology Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLF
Financial Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLE
Energy Select Sector
low sensitivity
XLV
Healthcare Select Sector
low sensitivity
XLY
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLP
Consumer Staples Select Sector
low sensitivity
XLI
Industrials Select Sector
medium sensitivity
XLU
Utilities Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLRE
Real Estate Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLB
Materials Select Sector
medium sensitivity
XLC
Communication Services Select Sector
medium sensitivity
Individual Stocks
Other Economic Events
FOMC8 times per year
CPIMonthly (mid-month)
NFPMonthly (first Friday)
PCEMonthly (end of month)
GDPQuarterly (advance, second, third estimates)
PPIMonthly (mid-month)
Retail SalesMonthly (mid-month)
ISM Mfg PMIMonthly (first business day)
Jobless ClaimsWeekly (Thursday)
Consumer ConfidenceMonthly (last Tuesday)
Durable GoodsMonthly (end of month)
Housing StartsMonthly (mid-month)
Industrial ProductionMonthly (mid-month)
JOLTSMonthly (first week, 2-month lag)
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