How Does GDP Affect Stocks & ETFs?
GDP measures the total value of all goods and services produced in the United States. The advance estimate comes about a month after the quarter ends, followed by two revisions. It captures consumer spending, business investment, government spending, and net exports.
GDP is the broadest measure of economic health. Sustained growth supports corporate earnings across the board. Contraction raises recession fears. Two consecutive quarters of negative GDP is the common (though unofficial) definition of recession.
Index ETFs
Sector ETFs
XLK
Technology Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLF
Financial Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLE
Energy Select Sector
low sensitivity
XLV
Healthcare Select Sector
low sensitivity
XLY
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLP
Consumer Staples Select Sector
low sensitivity
XLI
Industrials Select Sector
medium sensitivity
XLU
Utilities Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLRE
Real Estate Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLB
Materials Select Sector
medium sensitivity
XLC
Communication Services Select Sector
medium sensitivity
Individual Stocks
Other Economic Events
FOMC8 times per year
CPIMonthly (mid-month)
NFPMonthly (first Friday)
PCEMonthly (end of month)
PPIMonthly (mid-month)
Retail SalesMonthly (mid-month)
ISM Mfg PMIMonthly (first business day)
ISM Svc PMIMonthly (third business day)
Jobless ClaimsWeekly (Thursday)
Consumer ConfidenceMonthly (last Tuesday)
Durable GoodsMonthly (end of month)
Housing StartsMonthly (mid-month)
Industrial ProductionMonthly (mid-month)
JOLTSMonthly (first week, 2-month lag)
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