How Does Consumer Confidence Affect Stocks & ETFs?
The Consumer Confidence Index surveys 5,000 US households on their assessment of current business and employment conditions and their expectations for the next six months. The Present Situation Index and Expectations Index are reported separately.
Consumer sentiment drives spending decisions. A sharp drop in confidence often precedes pullbacks in discretionary spending, which can hit retail, travel, and luxury stocks. The expectations component is a leading indicator included in the Conference Board's Leading Economic Index.
Index ETFs
Sector ETFs
XLK
Technology Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLF
Financial Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLE
Energy Select Sector
low sensitivity
XLV
Healthcare Select Sector
low sensitivity
XLY
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLP
Consumer Staples Select Sector
low sensitivity
XLI
Industrials Select Sector
medium sensitivity
XLU
Utilities Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLRE
Real Estate Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLB
Materials Select Sector
medium sensitivity
XLC
Communication Services Select Sector
medium sensitivity
Individual Stocks
Other Economic Events
FOMC8 times per year
CPIMonthly (mid-month)
NFPMonthly (first Friday)
PCEMonthly (end of month)
GDPQuarterly (advance, second, third estimates)
PPIMonthly (mid-month)
Retail SalesMonthly (mid-month)
ISM Mfg PMIMonthly (first business day)
ISM Svc PMIMonthly (third business day)
Jobless ClaimsWeekly (Thursday)
Durable GoodsMonthly (end of month)
Housing StartsMonthly (mid-month)
Industrial ProductionMonthly (mid-month)
JOLTSMonthly (first week, 2-month lag)
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