How Does FOMC Affect Stocks & ETFs?
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) sets the federal funds rate — the benchmark interest rate that influences borrowing costs across the entire economy. The decision comes with a policy statement and, quarterly, updated economic projections (the 'dot plot').
Interest rates are the single most powerful lever in financial markets. Higher rates increase discount rates on future cash flows, raising borrowing costs for companies and consumers. Lower rates do the opposite. Every asset class reprices around FOMC decisions.
Index ETFs
Sector ETFs
XLK
Technology Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLF
Financial Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLE
Energy Select Sector
low sensitivity
XLV
Healthcare Select Sector
low sensitivity
XLY
Consumer Discretionary Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLP
Consumer Staples Select Sector
low sensitivity
XLI
Industrials Select Sector
medium sensitivity
XLU
Utilities Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLRE
Real Estate Select Sector
high sensitivity
XLB
Materials Select Sector
medium sensitivity
XLC
Communication Services Select Sector
medium sensitivity
Individual Stocks
Other Economic Events
CPIMonthly (mid-month)
NFPMonthly (first Friday)
PCEMonthly (end of month)
GDPQuarterly (advance, second, third estimates)
PPIMonthly (mid-month)
Retail SalesMonthly (mid-month)
ISM Mfg PMIMonthly (first business day)
ISM Svc PMIMonthly (third business day)
Jobless ClaimsWeekly (Thursday)
Consumer ConfidenceMonthly (last Tuesday)
Durable GoodsMonthly (end of month)
Housing StartsMonthly (mid-month)
Industrial ProductionMonthly (mid-month)
JOLTSMonthly (first week, 2-month lag)
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